Rain for Today! & Tropical Outlook - 8/3 7:19 AM EDT

We are going to see that rain chance stay with us for the next few days through Sunday. This is all because of a stationary front that is moving northward from northern Florida. This, in combination, with a weak low pressure area in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, will give us a chance of rain through the weekend.

The rain has started to come down this morning. It started around 5:30 AM ET and has continued for the past few hours. It has stopped raining as of 7:15 AM ET. We will see the chances of rain get higher as we go through the afternoon hours. The biggest chance of rain today will be for the areas that are east of Interstate 95. Then, by tomorrow, we will see the chance of rain overspread the whole area. This will give us some much needed rain as we still do need rain to get rid of our deficit.

The chance of rain will diminish by Monday and we'll see highs in the mid ninties inland. On the islands, by the beginning of next week, we will see highs in the upper eighties. The nighttime lows will be in the lower seventies.

Tropical Outlook

The tropical wave that was in the eastern Caribbean has significantly weakened overnight. From the start, I really didn't think that this wave was going to be any concern. However, I kept monitoring it for further signs of development. At this time, the convection around the low really hasn't flared up this morning as it did yesterday. If it had, we might have seen a tropical depression out of the wave; but, we didn't.

As of this morning (8-3-07), none of the major computer forecast guidance are suggesting any type of development from this wave. Furthermore, the models are rather smart in saying this because of all of the dry air that is in the Caribbean. If the wave were to develop, this dry air would have acted as a stability zone that would have made it very hard for it to further develop before it were torn apart.

There are no other areas of concern as of this morning. Some of the models are indicating some activity later next week. However, I do not expect any major tropical development as the same models that forecasted the wave above to strengthen, are forecasting other waves to strengthen next week.

Here is a look at where this tropical wave is now headed as told by the computer forecast models:


If there is any more tropical developments that occur in the Atlantic basin we will be sure to tell you about it.

Have a great weekend!